Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.6458.6%
X4.0223.9%
25.5217.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WWWDLWLWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Leeds
LLLWLDLLDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
2.00
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.30
10.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
3.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded2.00
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.90
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.30
10.80
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.60
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.20
Match total
21.90

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
3.60
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches169
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.6%61.5%+2.9 pp
Draw23.9%20.1%-3.8 pp
Away17.4%18.3%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.810.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.2%
1-011.2%
2-110.7%
1-18.9%
0-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.64
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.551.5%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches50
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%36.6%–63.4% CI
Draw FT32.0%20.8%–45.8% CI
Away FT18.0%9.8%–30.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals16.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.0%
Away40.0%