Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.7953.8%
X3.8025.3%
24.6120.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brighton
WWLDWLLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
West Ham
LLDLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.90
10.80
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brighton attack
1.70goals per matchWest Ham conceded1.50Matchup
West Ham attack
0.60goals per matchBrighton conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.90
10.80
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.50
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.00
Match total
21.10
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches373
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%56.3%+2.5 pp
Draw25.3%26.8%+1.5 pp
Away20.9%16.9%-4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
1.68–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.6%
2-012.3%
2-111.0%
1-110.7%
0-09.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.11
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=373.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%33.4%–50.1% CI
Draw FT40.8%32.7%–49.4% CI
Away FT17.7%12.1%–25.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals10.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away37.7%