Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.7953.8%
X3.8025.3%
24.6120.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
WWLDWLLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
West Ham
LLDLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
1.10
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
2.80
Against
5.90
10.80
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.10
50%5/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.70goals per match
West Ham conceded1.50
Matchup

West Ham attack

0.60goals per match
Brighton conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.30
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
2.80
Corners against
5.90
10.80
Match total
12.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.50
Match total
3.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.00
Match total
21.10

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.40
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches373
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.8%56.3%+2.5 pp
Draw25.3%26.8%+1.5 pp
Away20.9%16.9%-4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.680.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.6%
2-012.3%
2-111.0%
1-110.7%
0-09.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.11
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=373.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.5%33.4%–50.1% CI
Draw FT40.8%32.7%–49.4% CI
Away FT17.7%12.1%–25.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.3%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals10.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.2%
Away37.7%