Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
12.0746.4%
X3.3228.9%
23.8824.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
DWLWWLDWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Crystal Palace
LDDLWLWLLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.60
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.70goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
10.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.90
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
19.90
Match total
24.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.00
On target
3.80
14%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.4%48.7%+2.3 pp
Draw28.9%27.7%-1.3 pp
Away24.7%23.7%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS46.2%

Historical average

1.410.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.4%
0-011.5%
1-111.1%
2-19.1%
0-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.474.03
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.2%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.535.4%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches153
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.6%29.4%–44.5% CI
Draw FT42.5%34.9%–50.4% CI
Away FT20.9%15.2%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.0%
2+ goals29.4%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.1%
Away34.6%