Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 15:00
11.2278.9%
X6.8214.1%
213.837.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWWDWDLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Bournemouth
WDDLLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.40
Against
7.10
9.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.50goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.90
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.40
Corners against
7.10
9.90
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.40
Match total
3.00
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
21.70
Match total
20.50

Shots

18.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
6.20
On target
3.40
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.9%82.1%+3.1 pp
Draw14.1%7.7%-6.4 pp
Away7.0%10.3%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.543.6%
BTTS41.0%

Historical average

2.540.62

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-023.1%
3-115.4%
4-010.3%
2-110.3%
3-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.513.69
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.3%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away38.5%