Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-04 · 12:30
11.4864.9%
X4.5920.9%
26.7614.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWWLDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Newcastle
DLWDWWWDDD
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
0.70
90%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.30
2.20
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

7.80N=10
For
6.50N=10
2.30
Against
5.30
10.10
Total
11.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
0.70
4.40
Total goals
2.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.30goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.60goals per match
Man City conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.80N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
2.30
Corners against
5.30
10.10
Match total
11.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
19.40
Match total
19.70

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
6.70
On target
4.90
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches113
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%77.0%+12.1 pp
Draw20.9%15.9%-5.0 pp
Away14.2%7.1%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS42.5%

Historical average

2.280.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.2%
2-014.2%
2-114.2%
3-07.1%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.563.20
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=113.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.6%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.3%54.2%–82.5% CI
Draw FT21.6%11.4%–37.2% CI
Away FT8.1%2.8%–21.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.81

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal89.2%
2+ goals54.1%
3+ goals24.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.1%
Away32.4%