Premier League · 2022/23
2023-03-01 · 19:45
11.3670.6%
X5.0419.1%
29.3310.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWWWDWDL
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Everton
DDWLLDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.90
2.30
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.50
Against
7.00
10.40
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.50
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.30goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Matchup

Everton attack

0.50goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.50
Corners against
7.00
10.40
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
21.80
Match total
20.60

Shots

19.20N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
6.50
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches46
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.6%67.4%-3.2 pp
Draw19.1%23.9%+4.9 pp
Away10.3%8.7%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.521.7%
BTTS39.1%

Historical average

1.850.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-019.6%
1-017.4%
3-010.9%
0-08.7%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.093.15
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=46.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.573.9%
Over 9.558.7%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT50.0%26.8%–73.2% CI
Away FT7.1%1.3%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away28.6%