Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 13:30
12.5437.9%
X3.3328.9%
22.9133.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WWWLLWLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Chelsea
LWWDLLDLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.40
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.20
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.90goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.20
Matchup

Chelsea attack

0.90goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.20
9.60
Match total
9.00
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.40
Match total
23.60

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
6.40
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches452
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%37.2%-0.8 pp
Draw28.9%29.0%+0.0 pp
Away33.1%33.8%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.1%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.251.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-011.5%
0-110.2%
2-18.2%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.134.57
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=452.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches145
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%23.4%–38.3% CI
Draw FT40.7%33.0%–48.8% CI
Away FT29.0%22.2%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals10.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away51.7%