Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 19:45
14.7020.4%
X3.9324.4%
21.7455.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Crystal Palace
DLWWWLLDDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Liverpool
LDLLWWLLLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.40N=10
For
6.40N=10
5.40
Against
4.30
9.80
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
0.90goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.70Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.10goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.30
9.80
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.00
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
24.20
Match total
18.00
Shots
10.40N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
3.00
On target
5.70
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.4%22.2%+1.8 pp
Draw24.4%18.3%-6.1 pp
Away55.2%59.4%+4.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.7%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.532.8%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.01–1.78
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-210.0%
0-110.0%
1-28.9%
0-07.8%
1-16.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.27–5.97
Average total10.24
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.570.6%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.9%16.8%–40.3% CI
Draw FT34.6%23.2%–48.2% CI
Away FT38.5%26.5%–52.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals40.4%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.4%
Away53.8%