Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
14.7320.3%
X4.0923.5%
21.7156.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
LLWDWLLLDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Arsenal
LWWDWWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.40
Against
5.00
9.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.40
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Leicester conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.90
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.00
9.40
Match total
9.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
22.40
Match total
21.30

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.80
On target
4.30
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches137
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.3%17.5%-2.8 pp
Draw23.5%21.2%-2.3 pp
Away56.2%61.3%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

0.952.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-210.9%
0-110.9%
1-110.9%
0-210.2%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.965.64
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=137.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.1%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.538.0%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI
Draw FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI
Away FT63.6%46.6%–77.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home39.4%
Away81.8%