Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
11.9948.3%
X3.5726.9%
23.8924.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDDLLWLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Southampton
LLLWLLLWLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.60
1.50
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
0.70
70%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.10
Against
6.30
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.60
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.60
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.60goals per match
Leeds conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.30
9.90
Match total
9.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.70
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.30
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches571
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.3%45.9%-2.4 pp
Draw26.9%28.5%+1.6 pp
Away24.7%25.6%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.501.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.1%
1-011.6%
2-111.0%
1-28.4%
0-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.29
Average total9.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=571.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.6%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches191
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%31.1%–44.7% CI
Draw FT35.6%29.2%–42.6% CI
Away FT26.7%20.9%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.9%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away42.4%