Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-25 · 15:00
12.5437.8%
X3.2129.9%
22.9832.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
DWLWLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Aston Villa
LLDDLLWWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.10
Against
5.50
10.50
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.00goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.70Matchup
Aston Villa attack
0.90goals per matchEverton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.50
10.50
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.20
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
21.10
Match total
27.00
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.90
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches387
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.8%34.1%-3.7 pp
Draw29.9%37.7%+7.8 pp
Away32.2%28.2%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.516.8%
BTTS51.4%
Historical average
1.14–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-119.9%
0-012.7%
1-010.9%
2-19.8%
0-19.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.57
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=386.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.553.4%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches139
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.8%21.9%–36.8% CI
Draw FT54.7%46.4%–62.7% CI
Away FT16.5%11.3%–23.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals12.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.1%
Away40.3%