Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-24 · 20:00
12.5437.9%
X3.2229.9%
23.0032.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
WLDWDLWWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Wolves
LDLLLDWDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.20
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.40
Against
4.10
11.20
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.50goals per match
Wolves conceded1.50
Matchup

Wolves attack

0.70goals per match
Fulham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.10
11.20
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
20.70
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.20
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches426
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%32.4%-5.5 pp
Draw29.9%39.0%+9.0 pp
Away32.1%28.6%-3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.519.7%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.151.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-120.2%
0-012.2%
1-010.3%
0-19.4%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.62
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=425.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches151
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.5%20.1%–34.0% CI
Draw FT55.0%47.0%–62.7% CI
Away FT18.5%13.2%–25.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.0%
Away42.4%