Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-19 · 14:00
11.6259.3%
X4.3222.3%
25.2218.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WWDWWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Leicester
LLLLWWWLLW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.90
0.60
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.80
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.60
Against
6.80
10.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.60
Total goals
4.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Leicester conceded2.10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.90goals per match
Man United conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.60
Corners against
6.80
10.80
Match total
10.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.60
Match total
2.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
19.30
Match total
19.30

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.50
On target
4.70
12%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches152
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.3%60.5%+1.2 pp
Draw22.3%15.1%-7.1 pp
Away18.4%24.3%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS55.9%

Historical average

2.031.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
2-19.2%
1-19.2%
2-07.2%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.79
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=152.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.540.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.5%38.0%–70.2% CI
Draw FT24.2%12.8%–41.0% CI
Away FT21.2%10.7%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals48.5%
3+ goals21.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.8%
Away42.4%