Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 17:30
12.5737.5%
X3.5127.5%
22.7535.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DDDWWWWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Liverpool
DLDLLWWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.10
Against
4.10
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.70goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.10goals per match
Newcastle conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.10
10.50
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.00
Match total
18.50

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches314
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%35.7%-1.8 pp
Draw27.5%26.8%-0.7 pp
Away35.0%37.6%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS57.3%

Historical average

1.321.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-19.6%
1-28.3%
0-28.3%
1-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.85
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=314.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%26.7%–46.6% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT31.4%22.6%–41.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.3%
Away55.8%