Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 17:30
12.5737.5%
X3.5127.5%
22.7535.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DDDWWWWDWD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Liverpool
DLDLLWWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
30%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
7.40N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.10
Against
4.10
10.50
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.70goals per matchLiverpool conceded1.90Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.10goals per matchNewcastle conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.10
10.50
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.20
Match total
2.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.00
Match total
18.50
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.10
On target
5.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches314
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%35.7%-1.8 pp
Draw27.5%26.8%-0.7 pp
Away35.0%37.6%+2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS57.3%
Historical average
1.32–1.40
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
2-19.6%
1-28.3%
0-28.3%
1-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.85
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=314.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches86
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.0%26.7%–46.6% CI
Draw FT32.6%23.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT31.4%22.6%–41.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.7%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals19.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.3%
Away55.8%