Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 15:00
12.4838.8%
X3.3129.1%
22.9932.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
DDWLWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Leeds
LLLLWLDLLD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
2.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.20
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
2.00
2.30
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.00goals per matchLeeds conceded2.00Matchup
Leeds attack
1.10goals per matchEverton conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.20
10.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.20
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.00N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
21.20
Match total
22.90
Shots
11.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches531
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.8%39.2%+0.4 pp
Draw29.1%29.4%+0.3 pp
Away32.2%31.5%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS47.8%
Historical average
1.27–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-011.3%
0-110.5%
0-09.6%
2-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.27–4.65
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=531.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.529.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches182
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT25.8%20.0%–32.6% CI
Draw FT43.4%36.4%–50.7% CI
Away FT30.8%24.5%–37.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away51.6%