Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 15:00
11.3869.6%
X4.7620.2%
29.4210.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWWWDLWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Southampton
WLLLWLLLWL
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
5.70
11.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.00
Total goals
2.40
60%6/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.70
Matchup

Southampton attack

0.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.70
11.10
Match total
9.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
21.00
Match total
21.60

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
3.40
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.6%69.0%-0.6 pp
Draw20.2%14.3%-5.9 pp
Away10.2%16.7%+6.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.540.5%
Over 3.59.5%
BTTS26.2%

Historical average

1.690.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-026.2%
3-016.7%
1-014.3%
0-09.5%
2-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.622.90
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.3%30.1%–75.2% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals46.7%
3+ goals26.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away26.7%