Super League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 15:00
12.3838.2%
X3.0230.1%
22.8831.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Larisa
DDWWLDDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Asteras Tripolis
WDLLLLDDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
0.50
1.20
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.50
Against
5.10
8.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Larisa attack
0.90goals per matchAsteras Tripolis conceded1.50Matchup
Asteras Tripolis attack
0.50goals per matchLarisa conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.10
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.10
8.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
6.50
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.30N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
32.50
Match total
28.00
Shots
11.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.60
On target
2.90
8%
Conversion
5%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches722
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%38.5%+0.3 pp
Draw30.1%30.6%+0.5 pp
Away31.6%30.9%-0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.519.0%
BTTS48.9%
Historical average
1.18–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
1-012.5%
0-011.9%
0-110.2%
2-19.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–4.32
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=722.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.544.0%
Over 10.533.8%
Over 11.523.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches273
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.6%23.5%–34.2% CI
Draw FT46.2%40.3%–52.1% CI
Away FT25.3%20.5%–30.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals13.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.7%
Away45.1%