Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 15:00
11.6757.6%
X4.0623.7%
25.1518.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DWWLDWLLWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Fulham
LLWLWLWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.90
Against
6.00
10.60
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.70goals per match
Fulham conceded1.40
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.40goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
6.00
10.60
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.80
Match total
20.50

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
6.40
On target
3.90
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches174
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%62.6%+5.0 pp
Draw23.7%18.4%-5.3 pp
Away18.7%19.0%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.560.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.911.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.9%
1-012.1%
2-08.6%
3-17.5%
0-16.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.864.00
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=174.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%37.7%–66.6% CI
Draw FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI
Away FT23.8%13.5%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.5%
Away42.9%