Premier League · 2022/23
2023-02-18 · 15:00
11.8651.8%
X3.5427.2%
24.5921.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
DWLWDDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
DLDDLWLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
9.70
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.90goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.30
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

0.80goals per match
Brentford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
9.70
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.30
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.60N=10
Committed
11.20N=10
18.80
Match total
24.30

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
4.60
On target
3.70
17%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches291
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%54.0%+2.2 pp
Draw27.2%27.8%+0.6 pp
Away21.0%18.2%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

1.570.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.1%
2-112.4%
2-011.0%
1-110.3%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.603.85
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=291.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.532.6%
Over 11.524.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%31.7%–52.3% CI
Draw FT45.2%35.0%–55.9% CI
Away FT13.1%7.5%–21.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.9%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.1%
Away32.1%