Super League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 16:00
12.2241.2%
X3.1129.4%
23.1229.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
LWWWWWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
PAOK
WLWLWDDWDL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.80
0.50
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.70
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.40
Against
3.50
7.50
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.10goals per matchPAOK conceded1.00Matchup
PAOK attack
1.80goals per matchAEK conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.40
Corners against
3.50
7.50
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.30N=10
5.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
31.00
Match total
25.80
Shots
15.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.80
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,546
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.2%41.8%+0.6 pp
Draw29.4%32.0%+2.5 pp
Away29.3%26.3%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.542.8%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.35–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.7%
1-012.5%
0-09.2%
2-18.7%
0-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.42
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,545.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.2%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.536.7%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches523
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT32.5%28.6%–36.6% CI
Draw FT42.8%38.7%–47.1% CI
Away FT24.7%21.2%–28.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.4%
Away44.9%