Super League · 2024/25
2025-05-11 · 18:00
12.2142.2%
X3.3128.2%
23.1629.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PAOK
LDWLWLWWWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
AEK
LWWWLWWDLL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
2.30
2H goals
1.90
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.00
Against
2.10
10.90
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PAOK attack
2.30goals per matchAEK conceded1.30Matchup
AEK attack
1.40goals per matchPAOK conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.00
Corners against
2.10
10.90
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.90
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
14.10N=10
22.90
Match total
27.10
Shots
12.30N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.10
On target
4.30
19%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,292
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.2%42.2%-0.1 pp
Draw28.2%29.2%+1.0 pp
Away29.5%28.6%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS53.3%
Historical average
1.42–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-011.0%
2-110.0%
0-08.3%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–4.52
Average total9.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,292.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches405
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.3%30.8%–40.1% CI
Draw FT40.0%35.3%–44.8% CI
Away FT24.7%20.7%–29.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals12.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.3%
Away42.7%