Super League · 2024/25
2025-05-04 · 18:00
12.0146.6%
X3.3927.6%
23.6225.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWDWWWWLLL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Panathinaikos
WWWDDLLDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.20
0.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.20
Against
3.50
7.80
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.20
0.80
Goals conceded
1.60
2.80
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.00goals per matchPanathinaikos conceded1.60Matchup
Panathinaikos attack
1.20goals per matchAEK conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.20
Corners against
3.50
7.80
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.40
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
28.80
Match total
27.80
Shots
19.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
6.30
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches817
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.6%48.0%+1.4 pp
Draw27.6%27.7%+0.1 pp
Away25.8%24.4%-1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.4%
BTTS49.7%
Historical average
1.47–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
1-012.5%
2-010.3%
2-19.9%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.22
Average total9.69
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=817.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.2%35.6%–47.1% CI
Draw FT35.5%30.1%–41.3% CI
Away FT23.3%18.7%–28.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals11.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.3%
Away42.3%