Super League · 2024/25
2025-04-27 · 18:00
12.2441.7%
X3.1030.2%
23.3328.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
DWWDWWWWLL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Olympiakos
LWWDWWWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
5.40N=10
1.30
Against
2.50
7.60
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.10goals per matchOlympiakos conceded0.70Matchup
Olympiakos attack
1.70goals per matchAEK conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
1.30
Corners against
2.50
7.60
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.10
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
26.60
Match total
22.50
Shots
18.60N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
5.60
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches962
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%43.1%+1.4 pp
Draw30.2%31.3%+1.1 pp
Away28.1%25.6%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.539.2%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.30–0.98
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-013.0%
2-010.3%
0-010.2%
2-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.20
Average total9.23
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=962.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.544.2%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.523.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches357
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT35.0%30.2%–40.1% CI
Draw FT43.4%38.4%–48.6% CI
Away FT21.6%17.6%–26.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals39.8%
3+ goals13.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.1%
Away44.3%