Super League · 2023/24
2024-05-19 · 18:00
11.0588.9%
X12.347.6%
226.103.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WDWWWWWDWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Lamia
DDWWDLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.70
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
2.30
80%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
100%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Against
8.60
9.80
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
2.30
3.50
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.70goals per matchLamia conceded2.30Matchup
Lamia attack
1.60goals per matchAEK conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
8.60
9.80
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
29.30
Match total
27.40
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.40
18%
Conversion
20%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches15
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home88.9%93.3%+4.5 pp
Draw7.6%6.7%-0.9 pp
Away3.6%0.0%-3.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.573.3%
Over 3.546.7%
BTTS33.3%
Historical average
3.47–0.53
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-020.0%
6-013.3%
3-013.3%
2-113.3%
7-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
9.33–2.13
Average total11.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=15.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.580.0%
Over 9.573.3%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.5%52.7%–90.4% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals64.7%
3+ goals47.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home82.4%
Away35.3%