Super League · 2023/24
2024-05-11 · 18:00
12.2641.1%
X3.3128.1%
23.0130.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atromitos
DWDLLLWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Asteras Tripolis
WWLLLLLLLW
3W 0D 7L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.90
Against
7.00
8.70
Total
10.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atromitos attack
1.20goals per matchAsteras Tripolis conceded1.70Matchup
Asteras Tripolis attack
1.20goals per matchAtromitos conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.90
Corners against
7.00
8.70
Match total
10.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.40N=10
6.00
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
28.70
Match total
28.00
Shots
8.50N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.20
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches883
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%42.7%+1.6 pp
Draw28.1%29.3%+1.3 pp
Away30.9%28.0%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.528.0%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.45–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.5%
1-010.2%
0-010.0%
2-19.1%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–4.63
Average total10.21
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=883.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.557.0%
Over 10.543.5%
Over 11.531.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches279
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.6%27.4%–38.3% CI
Draw FT44.1%38.4%–50.0% CI
Away FT23.3%18.7%–28.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.20
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.5%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals12.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.1%
Away40.5%