Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 18:30
11.2872.4%
X5.2917.5%
29.2310.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Panathinaikos
WWWWDDWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Aris
LWWDDWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
5.00
Against
4.60
11.00
Total
7.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
1.10
2.90
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Panathinaikos attack
2.00goals per matchAris conceded1.10Matchup
Aris attack
1.10goals per matchPanathinaikos conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.60
11.00
Match total
7.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.80
Match total
5.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.80
Match total
30.00
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
6.10
On target
3.20
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home72.4%75.9%+3.5 pp
Draw17.5%16.5%-1.1 pp
Away10.0%7.6%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.538.2%
BTTS48.8%
Historical average
2.30–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.1%
2-112.4%
2-08.8%
1-17.1%
3-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.76–3.16
Average total10.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.564.1%
Over 10.554.7%
Over 11.542.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.8%49.5%–76.0% CI
Draw FT29.8%18.7%–44.0% CI
Away FT6.4%2.2%–17.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals31.9%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.5%
Away25.5%