Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-28 · 17:30
12.8532.5%
X3.2428.6%
22.3838.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PAOK
WWWWWWDLLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
AEK
DDWWDWDWLW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
2.50
0.90
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
2.10
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
7.60N=10
3.10
Against
3.10
9.40
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
2.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.40
Total goals
3.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

PAOK attack

2.50goals per match
AEK conceded1.30
Matchup

AEK attack

2.50goals per match
PAOK conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
7.60N=10
3.10
Corners against
3.10
9.40
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
5.60
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
22.30
Match total
29.80

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
6.70
On target
7.00
18%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches418
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%28.5%-4.0 pp
Draw28.6%26.6%-2.0 pp
Away38.9%45.0%+6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

1.121.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
0-111.0%
1-08.9%
1-28.6%
0-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.905.22
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=418.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.7%26.9%–43.4% CI
Draw FT36.3%28.4%–45.0% CI
Away FT29.0%21.8%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.38

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.8%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away47.6%