Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-21 · 17:30
16.6114.0%
X4.4520.8%
21.4265.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aris
LWWDWLWDWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
AEK
WDDWWDWDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.40
1.40
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
2.10
2.20
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
7.30N=10
3.90
Against
3.20
9.70
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.20
3.10
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aris attack

1.70goals per match
AEK conceded1.20
Matchup

AEK attack

2.40goals per match
Aris conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
1.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.20
9.70
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.30
Match total
5.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
30.40
Match total
29.20

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
5.80
On target
6.50
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.0%11.5%-2.5 pp
Draw20.8%19.2%-1.6 pp
Away65.2%69.2%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.523.1%
BTTS42.3%

Historical average

0.651.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.2%
0-315.4%
1-211.5%
0-211.5%
1-57.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.235.35
Average total8.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.546.2%
Over 9.530.8%
Over 10.523.1%
Over 11.519.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home20.0%
Away70.0%