Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 18:30
11.2176.8%
X6.0315.4%
212.037.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWWDWWWWWD
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Aris
LLWWDDWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.10
0.80
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.80
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.20
Against
5.10
10.50
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.10
0.80
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.60goals per matchAris conceded1.00Matchup
Aris attack
1.10goals per matchAEK conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.10
10.50
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.60
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.60N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.40
Match total
28.50
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.80
On target
3.10
17%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches111
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.8%86.5%+9.6 pp
Draw15.4%7.2%-8.2 pp
Away7.7%6.3%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.536.0%
BTTS46.8%
Historical average
2.59–0.63
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-118.0%
2-014.4%
3-110.8%
3-010.8%
1-08.1%
Comparable corner averages
6.76–3.14
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=111.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.556.8%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.9%40.9%–79.2% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT14.3%5.0%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.71
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.2%
Away38.1%