Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 18:30
11.8749.8%
X3.5526.2%
23.8824.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
PAOK
WWWLWWWWWW
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
3.20
0.60
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.90
100%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
7.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.80
Against
3.20
10.30
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
3.20
0.60
Goals conceded
0.90
3.20
Total goals
4.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.60goals per matchPAOK conceded0.90Matchup
PAOK attack
3.20goals per matchAEK conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.00
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
2.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.80
Corners against
3.20
10.30
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
26.90
Match total
27.40
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.70
On target
6.10
17%
Conversion
24%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches575
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.8%48.2%-1.6 pp
Draw26.2%27.3%+1.1 pp
Away24.0%24.5%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.550.1%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS52.5%
Historical average
1.61–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.2%
1-011.0%
2-08.2%
1-27.8%
2-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.34
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=575.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.544.5%
Over 11.533.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%32.2%–46.8% CI
Draw FT39.9%32.8%–47.4% CI
Away FT20.8%15.4%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals39.9%
3+ goals17.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away42.3%