Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:30
14.0623.0%
X3.4527.1%
21.8749.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aris
WLWWDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Panathinaikos
WWLLWDLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.90
Against
3.00
9.50
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aris attack
1.90goals per matchPanathinaikos conceded1.30Matchup
Panathinaikos attack
1.90goals per matchAris conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.00
9.50
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
5.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.90N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
29.10
Match total
29.20
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.50
14%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%23.8%+0.8 pp
Draw27.1%26.0%-1.0 pp
Away49.9%50.2%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS44.5%
Historical average
0.92–1.56
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.8%
0-212.5%
1-010.9%
0-19.8%
1-29.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.29–5.52
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%14.0%–31.3% CI
Draw FT40.5%30.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.5%
Away53.6%