Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-07 · 17:30
14.0623.0%
X3.4527.1%
21.8749.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aris
WLWWDWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Panathinaikos
WWLLWDLWDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
2.20
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.90
Against
3.00
9.50
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Aris attack

1.90goals per match
Panathinaikos conceded1.30
Matchup

Panathinaikos attack

1.90goals per match
Aris conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.00
9.50
Match total
8.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.40
Match total
5.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
29.10
Match total
29.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.50
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.0%23.8%+0.8 pp
Draw27.1%26.0%-1.0 pp
Away49.9%50.2%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS44.5%

Historical average

0.921.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-212.5%
1-010.9%
0-19.8%
1-29.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.295.52
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.4%14.0%–31.3% CI
Draw FT40.5%30.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.5%
Away53.6%