Super League · 2023/24
2024-04-03 · 17:30
11.1382.6%
X7.8511.9%
216.975.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PAOK
WWWWWWWDLL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Lamia
WLLDDWWDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
2.90
Against
7.40
8.70
Total
10.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PAOK attack
2.40goals per matchLamia conceded1.90Matchup
Lamia attack
1.40goals per matchPAOK conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
2.90
Corners against
7.40
8.70
Match total
10.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.00
Match total
5.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
23.10
Match total
27.40
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.30
On target
3.80
18%
Conversion
17%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.6%91.3%+8.7 pp
Draw11.9%4.3%-7.5 pp
Away5.5%4.3%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.0%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.553.6%
BTTS36.2%
Historical average
3.16–0.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.9%
5-011.6%
1-010.1%
3-08.7%
3-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
8.99–2.26
Average total11.25
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.562.3%
Over 10.552.2%
Over 11.537.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT83.3%55.2%–95.3% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal91.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home83.3%
Away8.3%