Super League · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 19:00
16.5514.2%
X4.0822.7%
21.4763.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aris
WWWLWWLLWW
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
AEK
WLWLWWWWWD
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
5.60N=10
3.70
Against
3.00
8.80
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
0.60
3.00
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aris attack
2.00goals per matchAEK conceded0.60Matchup
AEK attack
1.60goals per matchAris conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.00
8.80
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.20N=10
Committed
15.80N=10
31.10
Match total
29.30
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
5.00
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.2%12.9%-1.3 pp
Draw22.7%16.1%-6.6 pp
Away63.1%71.0%+7.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
0.74–2.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-216.1%
0-116.1%
1-112.9%
1-212.9%
0-39.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.00–5.32
Average total9.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.538.7%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.519.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.9%
2+ goals53.8%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.8%
Away69.2%