Super League · 2022/23
2023-05-03 · 18:00
11.7154.5%
X3.6425.6%
24.6919.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWWWWWLDWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Olympiakos
DWWDDWWWLL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.90
0.50
Conceded
0.80
70%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
3.60N=10
1.70
Against
4.20
8.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
0.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.40goals per matchOlympiakos conceded0.80Matchup
Olympiakos attack
1.90goals per matchAEK conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
1.70
Corners against
4.20
8.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.80
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.00N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
33.10
Match total
26.80
Shots
18.70N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.80
On target
5.40
13%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches440
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.5%58.0%+3.4 pp
Draw25.6%25.2%-0.4 pp
Away19.9%16.8%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS48.6%
Historical average
1.71–0.87
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.0%
2-112.3%
1-110.9%
2-010.7%
0-09.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–4.00
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=440.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.540.5%
Over 11.532.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.1%34.1%–50.6% CI
Draw FT44.4%36.2%–52.8% CI
Away FT13.5%8.7%–20.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.32
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.9%
Away35.3%