Super League · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 18:00
11.6656.0%
X3.5426.3%
25.2517.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
PAOK
WWDWDWWLWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Aris
DLLLLWLDLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.10
0.70
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.70
Against
4.50
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.10
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
PAOK attack
2.00goals per matchAris conceded1.40Matchup
Aris attack
1.10goals per matchPAOK conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.70
Corners against
4.50
8.60
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.50
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.10
Match total
31.90
Shots
15.30N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.60
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.0%55.3%-0.7 pp
Draw26.3%25.5%-0.7 pp
Away17.7%19.1%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.517.7%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.63–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.3%
1-113.5%
2-011.7%
1-08.9%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.99–3.67
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=282.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.550.4%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches102
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%39.5%–58.6% CI
Draw FT31.4%23.2%–40.9% CI
Away FT19.6%13.1%–28.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals18.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.7%
Away36.3%