Super League · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 17:30
12.6135.6%
X2.9731.3%
22.8133.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

PAOK
LDWWWDWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
AEK
WWDDWLWLWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
0.60
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.30N=10
3.30
Against
3.30
8.60
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
0.60
2.60
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

PAOK attack

2.00goals per match
AEK conceded0.60
Matchup

AEK attack

1.60goals per match
PAOK conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.30
8.60
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
5.30
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
17.70N=10
26.60
Match total
32.40

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
17.20N=10
5.50
On target
5.00
14%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches419
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.6%31.3%-4.4 pp
Draw31.3%35.6%+4.3 pp
Away33.1%33.2%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS48.4%

Historical average

1.011.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-014.3%
1-011.9%
0-111.2%
1-29.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.744.37
Average total9.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.546.3%
Over 10.532.7%
Over 11.521.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches173
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.7%21.6%–34.8% CI
Draw FT45.1%37.9%–52.5% CI
Away FT27.2%21.1%–34.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.3%
2+ goals31.2%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.7%
Away39.9%