Super League · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 19:30
11.8450.6%
X3.2129.0%
24.5820.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWWWWWWWWL
9W 0D 1L · 2.70 PPM
Panathinaikos
WWDWLWLWDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.30
0.40
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.70
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
8.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
2.50
Against
4.80
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.30
0.40
Goals conceded
0.50
2.70
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.30goals per matchPanathinaikos conceded0.50Matchup
Panathinaikos attack
1.30goals per matchAEK conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
2.50
Corners against
4.80
11.20
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.30N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
32.90
Match total
31.80
Shots
20.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
7.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches160
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%55.6%+5.0 pp
Draw29.0%28.1%-0.9 pp
Away20.3%16.3%-4.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS38.8%
Historical average
1.48–0.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.5%
2-012.5%
0-012.5%
2-110.0%
1-110.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–3.81
Average total9.29
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=160.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.545.6%
Over 10.532.5%
Over 11.523.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches58
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%31.2%–55.9% CI
Draw FT41.4%29.6%–54.2% CI
Away FT15.5%8.4%–26.9% CI
Remaining goals
0.98
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.5%
2+ goals24.1%
3+ goals8.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.4%
Away27.6%