Super League · 2022/23
2023-03-12 · 17:00
11.4265.8%
X4.1822.4%
27.8911.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aris
WLWDWWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Giannina
LLDLLDWDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.60
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.00
Against
5.00
8.70
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aris attack
2.00goals per matchGiannina conceded1.50Matchup
Giannina attack
1.00goals per matchAris conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.00
8.70
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.20
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.10N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
31.60
Match total
30.70
Shots
14.60N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.50
On target
2.40
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.8%68.8%+2.9 pp
Draw22.4%31.3%+8.9 pp
Away11.8%0.0%-11.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.518.8%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
1.81–0.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-018.8%
1-018.8%
0-012.5%
1-112.5%
2-112.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.69–2.50
Average total8.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.543.8%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.518.8%
Over 11.56.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT62.5%38.6%–81.5% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.3%
Away31.3%