Super League · 2022/23
2023-02-26 · 17:30
11.5062.3%
X3.8624.2%
26.9213.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aris
DWLWDWWWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Atromitos
WLLLLWLDDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
0.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
9.60
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aris attack
1.80goals per matchAtromitos conceded1.40Matchup
Atromitos attack
0.90goals per matchAris conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
9.60
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.40
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
32.20
Match total
26.90
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.20
On target
3.30
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches80
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%80.0%+17.7 pp
Draw24.2%11.3%-13.0 pp
Away13.5%8.8%-4.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.526.3%
BTTS43.8%
Historical average
2.13–0.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-022.5%
3-016.3%
2-112.5%
2-010.0%
3-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.44–3.39
Average total8.82
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=80.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.5%
Over 9.541.3%
Over 10.528.7%
Over 11.515.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.6%62.9%–93.0% CI
Draw FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.70
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal95.7%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals26.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home91.3%
Away26.1%