Super League · 2021/22
2022-04-10 · 17:30
11.9148.8%
X3.1629.5%
24.2921.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
LWLLLWWDWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Aris
WWLDLDWLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
0.90
60%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.80
1.40
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
7.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.60
Against
3.40
11.20
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
0.90
2.60
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
1.40goals per matchAris conceded0.90Matchup
Aris attack
0.90goals per matchAEK conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.40
11.20
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.30
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.70N=10
Committed
17.60N=10
29.10
Match total
35.80
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.20
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches138
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.8%51.4%+2.7 pp
Draw29.5%29.0%-0.5 pp
Away21.7%19.6%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.5%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS50.7%
Historical average
1.48–0.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.4%
1-113.8%
2-110.9%
2-08.7%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–3.95
Average total9.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=138.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.524.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.3%40.2%–67.8% CI
Draw FT30.4%19.1%–44.8% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals26.1%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.0%
Away32.6%