Super League · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 19:30
11.1978.1%
X6.2614.8%
213.187.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
AEK
WWWWDWWDDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
OFI Crete
LLLWDLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
AEK attack
2.10goals per matchOFI Crete conceded2.40Matchup
OFI Crete attack
0.80goals per matchAEK conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
19.20N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
33.30
Match total
34.90
Shots
9.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.70
On target
2.60
21%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.1%100.0%+21.9 pp
Draw14.8%0.0%-14.8 pp
Away7.1%0.0%-7.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.83–0.50
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
3-125.0%
4-016.7%
1-016.7%
2-116.7%
5-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.42–2.67
Average total9.08
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.6%
Away15.4%