Super League · 2019/20
2020-07-08 · 19:30
11.1978.1%
X6.2614.8%
213.187.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AEK
WWWWDWWDDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
OFI Crete
LLLWDLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
2.40
70%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.00
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
9.20
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.80
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

AEK attack

2.10goals per match
OFI Crete conceded2.40
Matchup

OFI Crete attack

0.80goals per match
AEK conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
9.20
Match total
7.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.20
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

19.20N=10
Committed
15.10N=10
33.30
Match total
34.90

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
4.70
On target
2.60
21%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home78.1%100.0%+21.9 pp
Draw14.8%0.0%-14.8 pp
Away7.1%0.0%-7.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.830.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-125.0%
4-016.7%
1-016.7%
2-116.7%
5-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.422.67
Average total9.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.541.7%
Over 9.525.0%
Over 10.525.0%
Over 11.525.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.9%49.7%–91.8% CI
Draw FT23.1%8.2%–50.3% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–22.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away15.4%