Super League · 2019/20
2020-07-05 · 17:15
15.4717.0%
X4.1422.4%
21.5360.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aris
WDWWWWLLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
AEK
LWDLWWWDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
0.40
50%
Over 2.5
10%
50%
BTTS
20%
By half
1.80
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
0.90
50%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.70
Against
4.30
9.80
Total
9.50
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
0.40
2.80
Total goals
1.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aris attack
1.80goals per matchAEK conceded0.40Matchup
AEK attack
1.10goals per matchAris conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.30
9.80
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.00
Match total
6.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
22.30N=10
34.80
Match total
38.80
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
5.20
On target
4.30
18%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.0%14.3%-2.7 pp
Draw22.4%21.4%-1.0 pp
Away60.6%64.3%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.535.7%
BTTS78.6%
Historical average
1.14–1.79
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-228.6%
0-121.4%
2-214.3%
1-314.3%
3-27.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.36–5.64
Average total11.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.564.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.542.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Draw FT23.8%10.6%–45.1% CI
Away FT42.9%24.5%–63.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.57
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away71.4%