Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
11.1683.0%
X8.1811.8%
218.245.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWLWDWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Aston Villa
WLWLWWLLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.70
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
0.80
80%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

2.20
1H goals
1.10
2.50
2H goals
1.10
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.70N=10
For
5.90N=10
2.40
Against
5.20
11.10
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.70
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
4.70
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

3.70goals per match
Aston Villa conceded0.80
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.70N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
2.40
Corners against
5.20
11.10
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.40
Match total
5.60
20%2/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
17.90
Match total
26.20

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
7.80
On target
5.00
20%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches30
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.0%90.0%+7.0 pp
Draw11.8%6.7%-5.1 pp
Away5.3%3.3%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.593.3%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.556.7%
BTTS36.7%

Historical average

3.100.70

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-030.0%
5-013.3%
3-210.0%
6-06.7%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.693.28
Average total11.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=29.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.3%
Over 9.572.4%
Over 10.562.1%
Over 11.548.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT70.0%39.7%–89.2% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.0%
Away30.0%