Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
11.8851.2%
X4.0323.9%
23.8624.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leicester
WLDDWWWDLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Southampton
DWLWDLDLDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.40
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.70
Against
4.70
10.30
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leicester attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded2.20
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.30goals per match
Leicester conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.70
10.30
Match total
11.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.40
Match total
3.50
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
19.70
Match total
22.00

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
4.20
On target
5.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches61
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.2%45.9%-5.3 pp
Draw23.9%26.2%+2.3 pp
Away24.9%27.9%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS70.5%

Historical average

1.891.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-09.8%
2-28.2%
1-08.2%
2-46.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.39
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=61.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.580.3%
Over 9.559.0%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.531.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%