Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
13.1031.0%
X3.6626.3%
22.2542.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Crystal Palace
DWLLLDDWDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Man United
DDWDWLLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
2.30
50%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
2.10
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.40
Against
4.80
9.20
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
2.30
Total goals
3.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.30goals per match
Man United conceded2.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.30goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.80
9.20
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
24.50
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.70
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.0%31.4%+0.4 pp
Draw26.3%30.3%+4.0 pp
Away42.7%38.3%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.556.0%
Over 3.535.4%
BTTS56.6%

Historical average

1.261.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-110.9%
2-210.3%
0-28.6%
0-08.0%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.834.94
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches45
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%10.9%–33.8% CI
Draw FT42.2%29.0%–56.7% CI
Away FT37.8%25.1%–52.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away55.6%