Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
11.1782.3%
X7.8912.2%
217.635.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DDDWWLLWDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Watford
DDLWDLWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
0.80
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.60N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.30
Against
7.10
10.90
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded1.50
Matchup

Watford attack

0.50goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.60N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.30
Corners against
7.10
10.90
Match total
11.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.70
Match total
2.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.40
Match total
18.90

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
5.90
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home82.3%84.2%+1.9 pp
Draw12.2%10.5%-1.7 pp
Away5.5%5.3%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS31.6%

Historical average

2.890.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-026.3%
5-013.2%
3-17.9%
4-07.9%
6-05.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.972.62
Average total11.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=37.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.1%
Over 9.575.7%
Over 10.559.5%
Over 11.545.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%49.0%–94.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals60.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away20.0%