Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
12.2442.9%
X3.4827.6%
23.2529.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
DLWLLLWWWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Newcastle
LWDWWLLLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.20N=10
7.00
Against
6.20
11.80
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.70
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
7.00
Corners against
6.20
11.80
Match total
10.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.40
Match total
4.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
18.90
Match total
18.20

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
3.70
On target
4.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches430
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.9%43.3%+0.4 pp
Draw27.6%29.5%+1.9 pp
Away29.5%27.2%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.525.3%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.441.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-011.9%
0-18.6%
0-08.6%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.674.39
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=429.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.555.0%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches138
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.8%27.3%–43.0% CI
Draw FT40.6%32.7%–48.9% CI
Away FT24.6%18.2%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.6%
Away43.5%