Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-22 · 16:00
11.3770.2%
X5.1518.7%
28.6911.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WLDWWWLLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Everton
DLLLLLLLWD
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.20N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
2.50
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded2.10
Matchup

Everton attack

0.80goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.50
Match total
21.20

Shots

18.10N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.80
On target
2.70
8%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%74.5%+4.3 pp
Draw18.7%15.1%-3.6 pp
Away11.1%10.4%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.562.3%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.290.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.0%
3-012.3%
1-011.3%
2-011.3%
0-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.903.67
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.6%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.535.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches26
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.7%38.9%–74.5% CI
Draw FT34.6%19.4%–53.8% CI
Away FT7.7%2.1%–24.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.1%
2+ goals42.3%
3+ goals3.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.4%
Away19.2%