Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-19 · 20:00
12.0547.0%
X3.5627.0%
23.7026.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
LDDLWLLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Burnley
LLDWDLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.30
Against
7.10
9.80
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded1.40
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.10
9.80
Match total
11.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.20
Match total
20.00

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.70
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%45.0%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%28.9%+1.9 pp
Away26.0%26.1%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.541.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-09.6%
0-19.1%
0-08.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.44
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%27.2%–43.4% CI
Draw FT38.8%30.8%–47.4% CI
Away FT26.4%19.5%–34.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.3%
Away51.2%