Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-19 · 20:00
12.0547.0%
X3.5627.0%
23.7026.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Aston Villa
LDDLWLLWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Burnley
LLDWDLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.90
1.70
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
5.30
Against
7.10
9.80
Total
11.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.90
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
3.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.40goals per matchBurnley conceded1.40Matchup
Burnley attack
0.90goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.10
9.80
Match total
11.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
22.20
Match total
20.00
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.70
On target
2.40
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches353
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.0%45.0%-1.9 pp
Draw27.0%28.9%+1.9 pp
Away26.0%26.1%+0.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.54–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.2%
1-09.6%
0-19.1%
0-08.5%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.55–4.44
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=353.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches129
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.9%27.2%–43.4% CI
Draw FT38.8%30.8%–47.4% CI
Away FT26.4%19.5%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals41.1%
3+ goals17.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.3%
Away51.2%