Premier League · 2021/22
2022-05-17 · 19:45
18.0212.0%
X5.4917.6%
21.3770.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
DWDWWLLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Liverpool
DLDWWWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.70
1.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.60
Against
3.40
12.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.70
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
2.90
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.70goals per match
Southampton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.40
12.10
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
18.10
Match total
20.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
15.00N=10
5.00
On target
5.90
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%12.9%+0.9 pp
Draw17.6%22.6%+5.0 pp
Away70.4%64.5%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.8%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.561.3%
BTTS83.9%

Historical average

1.262.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-312.9%
1-49.7%
0-49.7%
1-29.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.686.19
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.3%
Over 9.548.4%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.532.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.3%0.9%–24.6% CI
Draw FT36.8%19.1%–59.0% CI
Away FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals31.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away78.9%